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After a period of relative stability, the latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario tracking finds renewed movement in the province’s political landscape, driven by a notable drop in Progressive Conservative support, continued erosion in Premier Doug Ford’s personal standing, and a meaningful uptick for the NDP. While the PCs remain in first place, their advantage […]
There’s a debate emerging in the research community that deserves more attention from anyone who relies on public opinion data. In a New York Times essay published yesterday, Leif Weatherby and Benjamin Recht challenge the growing use of “silicon sampling” — replacing real survey respondents with AI-generated ones. Their core argument is simple: public opinion
A Poll Requires People Read More »
The RolePosition: Vice President, ProductsLocation: Hybrid (Canada-based) with strong preference for candidates based in or around Ottawa or Toronto.Typical Total Compensation Package: CA $150,000 to $220,000 About Abacus Data Abacus Data has spent more than 15 years building a deep, evidence-based understanding of how Canadians think, feel, and make decisions. That work has produced more
WE ARE HIRING – Vice President, Products Read More »
Between March 19 and 24, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,515 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This latest wave of research finds a political environment that remains largely unchanged from earlier in March. The Liberals continue to hold a clear national advantage, underlying attitudes about the government are steady, and the
New Abacus Poll: Liberal Lead Holds as Political Opinion Environment Remains Stable Read More »
This Sunday, the federal NDP will announce the results of its leadership election. I’ve just completed a national survey to better understand how Canadians see the party at this moment. Not how it used to be seen, not how its supporters hope it’s seen, but how it is actually understood today. What emerges is a
The Polling Story Behind Today’s Federal NDP Read More »
Last week, Pierre Poilievre sat down with Joe Rogan for a long-form interview on one of the most listened to podcasts in the world. It was a different kind of political moment. Less scripted, less filtered, and for many Canadians, a format they are not used to seeing Canadian politicians in. I fielded a national
Poilievre’s Rogan Moment Reached Beyond His Base Read More »
This research, commissioned by the Canadian Union of Public Employees (CUPE), examines how Ontarians view proposed changes to the province’s freedom of information (FOI) framework. As the Ontario government considers changes to the province’s freedom of information (FOI) framework, the debate has quickly become about more than administrative reform. At its core is a broader question about transparency, accountability,
Ontarians Oppose Proposed FOI Changes and See Them as Reducing Government Accountability Read More »
Across North America, the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure has begun to collide with public concerns about energy use, environmental impact, and who ultimately benefits. In the United States, local opposition to large-scale data centre projects has grown more visible over the past two years, particularly in regions facing electricity constraints or water scarcity. Communities
Canadians Split on AI Data Centres as Cost Concerns and Local Opposition Emerge Read More »
Recent Abacus polling shows the Liberals holding an 11-point lead over the Conservatives nationally. On the surface, that suggests a political environment that has become more comfortable for the government. But beneath those topline numbers, there are still issues that could reshape the conversation quickly. Housing is one of them. At Abacus Data, we recently
Housing Remains the Federal Test Canadians Are Watching Closely Read More »
After several months of declining approval and a narrowing political environment, the Ford government appears to have stabilized. The Progressive Conservatives continue to lead comfortably on vote intention. The Ontario Liberals remain firmly in second place despite still lacking a permanent leader. And the NDP remains well behind in third. At the same time, approval
Ford Government Approval Stabilizes as Ontario Liberals Continue to Gain Read More »
