Abacus

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Alberta at a Crossroads: Two-Thirds Will Vote to Stay, and a Vote to Proceed Is Not a Vote to Leave

How will Albertans vote? We asked Albertans the separation question in the exact words that will appear on the ballot, then asked the people who would vote to commence the process a question no one else has asked: if the binding referendum came, would you actually vote to leave? Earlier this year, Abacus Data acquired […]

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Alberta at a Crossroads: Albertans Hold the Grievance and the Flag at the Same Time

Every independence movement starts with an identity. So before we asked Albertans how they would vote, we asked them who they are. Earlier this year, Abacus Data acquired Manitoba-based Probe Research, one of Western Canada’s most respected public opinion firms. Curtis Brown, Probe’s principal and a pollster who has spent two decades reading the Prairies,

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As Carney Heads to Europe, 4 in 5 Canadians Support Closer Integration with the EU

Our latest national survey finds broad and growing support for Canada deepening its relationship with Europe, as Prime Minister Mark Carney prepares to travel to Strasbourg and Liverpool amid speculation that the trip could include a significant new announcement about Canada’s relationship with its European partners. The survey was conducted from September 4 to 9,

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Liberals Open 14-Point Lead, Largest Since 2017, as Trump Continues to Dominate the Agenda

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from September 4 to 9, in a political environment that continues to be shaped overwhelmingly by Canada’s confrontation with the United States. Since our last survey, the Liberals swept three federal byelections on August 31, holding Beaches–East York and North Vancouver–Capilano and winning Chicoutimi–Le Fjord from the Bloc

Liberals Open 14-Point Lead, Largest Since 2017, as Trump Continues to Dominate the Agenda Read More »

Ford PCs Regain Some Ground as Trump Trade Fight Returns to Centre Stage in Ontario

The latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario political tracking finds Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives have recovered some of the ground they lost in our last survey, although the improvement is modest rather than dramatic. Among committed voters, the PCs are at 42%, up two points from late July. The Ontario Liberals are at

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Back-to-School 2026: Canadians Expect to Spend More, but Feel More Confident About Affording the School Year

In our latest national survey, we asked 426 back-to-school shoppers about their budgets, spending, and how they are feeling as the new school year approaches. We also compared the results with our previous surveys in 2024 and 2023. This year, Canadians are expecting to spend more on back-to-school shopping. On average, back-to-school shoppers expect to

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The Trade War Next Door: What American Voters Think About Tariffs, Canada and the Battle for the U.S. Senate

As the trade dispute between Canada and the United States escalates, much of the focus in Canada has understandably been on what it means for our economy, our businesses and our politics. But we wanted to look at the other side of the border. Specifically, we wanted to understand how American voters are reacting to

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Canadians Give the Carney Government Strong Overall Marks, but its Approval Rests Heavily on the Canada-U.S. file

Roughly eighteen months into its mandate, the federal government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney continues to enjoy a level of public support that most governments at this stage would envy. A new Abacus Data survey of 2,022 Canadian adults finds that 56% approve of the job the government is doing while 29% disapprove, a

Canadians Give the Carney Government Strong Overall Marks, but its Approval Rests Heavily on the Canada-U.S. file Read More »

Liberals Open 10-Point Lead as Trump Returns to the Centre of the Agenda

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted as Canada-U.S. trade negotiations broke down and new American tariffs took effect. Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks on August 21 rather than accept Washington’s terms, and 50% U.S. tariffs took effect the following day. Most interviews were completed after those developments. And on the eve of three

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Seven in Ten Canadians Back Carney’s Decision to Walk Away From U.S. Trade Talks

Canada’s trade relationship with the United States entered a new and more uncertain phase last week after Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended negotiations with the U.S. government rather than accept the terms being offered by Washington. The decision came after weeks of intensive negotiations and a short extension of an American tariff deadline. On August

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